Post by Rog on Aug 12, 2017 3:49:11 GMT
So here we go again. Me and Charles have adjusted a formula and settled on something we think we really like. Its basically the same idea: A formula that takes a players ratings and makes them into one number based on the letter grades. Remember, we are not getting inside information here, we do not know under the hood ratings. With this, and as we adjust maybe even further with age/height/weight potentially things will get more specific. So here is what we did:
Bigs: Emphasis on inside and rebounding.
Perimeter Players: Emphasis on outside scoring and defense
SFs: Emphasis on rebounding as well as bonuses given to perimeter players.
PGs: Only position that didn't get handles de-emphasised. As much as I think passing is absolutely worthless, point guards probably need their handles high. Otherwise, everyone got less points for having high handles ratings.
Previous Versions:
None
Without further ado, here is the class:
Analysis
- Immediately its easy to see the top two are the same with Lebron James Jr. and Honey Russell coming up at 1 and 2, with James holding a sizable(in this table), lead for number 1.
- After that things start to change but small changes. Bryce Griggs jumps up from 6 to 3 and I think that is a better representation of how the draft board looks to me, without considering notes. Abdoulaye N'Doye moves from 3 to 4, and even considering his notes I think Griggs is the MUCH better prospect.
- I'm honestly not sure how such a big gap got between Livingston and Walker in the other analysis, but its better here showing how tight they are with Livingston getting the obvious slight advantage.
- One thing we hated in some of our testing was how big oriented things got, with one going 11 out of the first 20 being bigs, in an obvious guard league. Alterations were made to show off the fact that, yes rebounding is important but its not more important than ANYTHING else in a way that makes bigs that much more valuable. This draft is big strong though, with even here its 8 of the top 20.
- Looking here with a more to our liking ranking, the draft was pretty interesting. Lebron obviously was #1 and went #1. Honey Russell due to notes fell hard, some teams took him off their draft board and yet he still ended up a lottery pick because of his starting ratings.
- The lower rated SG went 1 spot higher, maybe the Raptors liked his scouts better, clearly? Just fun to see how clearly better Livingston is, yet Jarace went #3.
- The Bullets got N'Doye to fall from #3 here to #6 in the draft, and I'd argue even still he was drafted way too high. He's got great defense but that doesn't win championships in all reality.
- The best big in the draft, Adam Ponikvar, actually went third among bigs in the draft behind Felipe Dos Anjos and Roger Mesna, showing notes really propel these guys up the board if good enough. Teama also don't like being C potential to start.
- Another indicator of notes, the #16 Buck Pierce and #32 Charles Webster went 11 and 12 in our draft. Picked high, but those notes could be used to great effect potentially.
- According to this though, the biggest reach came via the Hawks selecting Bob Feerick at #8 despite only showing #47 on this. We haven't added anything to do with potential. Spurs also did this by taking Max Zaslofsky, going from #60 on our list to 17 in reality. Crazy how this shit works. It all comes down to A years old and 18 potential. That and his defense and rebounding really brought him down.
- The other side, Magic had a top 10 player on our list, John Arguile at #10, fall to him at #23. He looks solid, but our system loved his overall game. Blazers had similar when #17 Cyrille Eliezer-Vanerot on our list, fell to 24 and the Blazers scooped him up.
Overall was fun to see this and compare it to the actual results. Will have more next year, hopefully before the draft.